Introduction
The trade-off we're examining today is whether Affirm should prioritize expanding merchant partnerships or focus on improving the user experience for existing customers. This decision is crucial for Affirm's growth strategy and long-term success in the competitive buy now, pay later (BNPL) market. I'll analyze this trade-off by considering various factors including business impact, user needs, technical feasibility, and resource allocation.
Analysis Approach
I'd like to start by asking a few clarifying questions to ensure we're aligned on the context and constraints of this decision. Then, I'll walk you through my analysis framework, covering product understanding, hypothesis formation, metrics identification, experiment design, and ultimately, a recommendation with next steps.
Step 1
Clarifying Questions (3 minutes)
Why it matters: Helps determine if we need aggressive expansion or customer retention focus. Expected answer: Moderate market share, room for growth but facing stiff competition. Impact on approach: Would balance expansion with retention efforts.
Why it matters: Indicates whether improving user experience could significantly boost engagement. Expected answer: Moderate retention rates with room for improvement in transaction frequency. Impact on approach: Might lean towards user experience improvements if retention is a concern.
Why it matters: Determines the effort required for expansion vs. improving existing systems. Expected answer: Moderately scalable, but requires some customization for larger merchants. Impact on approach: Could influence the pace and scale of merchant expansion efforts.
Why it matters: Helps understand the trade-offs in terms of human resources and expertise. Expected answer: Slightly more resources in partnerships, but UX team is growing. Impact on approach: Would inform how quickly we could execute on either strategy.
Why it matters: Helps prioritize short-term gains vs. long-term strategic positioning. Expected answer: Some pressure due to increasing competition, but no immediate crisis. Impact on approach: Would influence the aggressiveness of our strategy and timeline.
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