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Product Management Root Cause Analysis Question: Investigating Amazon's sudden 10% user drop

Asked at Amazon

15 mins

Number of users on an Amazon website drops by 10%. What are the possible reasons, and how can we solve it?

Data Analysis Problem Solving Strategic Thinking E-commerce Retail Technology
E-Commerce Data Analysis User Retention Performance Optimization Root Cause Analysis

Introduction

A 10% drop in users on an Amazon website is a significant issue that requires immediate attention and a systematic approach to identify and address the root cause. As we delve into this problem, we'll follow a structured framework to analyze the situation, generate hypotheses, and develop both short-term and long-term solutions.

Framework overview

This analysis follows a structured approach covering issue identification, hypothesis generation, validation, and solution development.

Step 1

Clarifying Questions (3 minutes)

To better understand the context and scope of the issue, I'd like to ask the following questions:

  • What specific time frame are we looking at for this 10% drop?

  • Are we seeing a decline in new user acquisition, existing user retention, or both?

  • Has this drop been consistent across all user segments or concentrated in specific demographics?

  • Have there been any recent changes to the website's features, UI/UX, or backend systems?

  • Are we observing similar trends on mobile apps or other platforms?

  • Has there been any change in the way we measure or define "users" on the website?

Why these questions matter:

  1. Time frame: Helps distinguish between a sudden drop and a gradual decline, informing our approach.
  2. User type: Allows us to focus on acquisition or retention strategies accordingly.
  3. User segments: Identifies potential issues affecting specific groups, enabling targeted solutions.
  4. Recent changes: Pinpoints potential internal causes for the drop.
  5. Cross-platform trends: Determines if the issue is website-specific or more widespread.
  6. Metric definition: Ensures we're working with consistent and accurate data.

Hypothetical answers and their impact:

  • If the drop occurred suddenly, we'd focus on recent changes or external events.
  • If it's affecting new user acquisition, we'd examine our marketing funnel and onboarding process.
  • If specific segments are impacted, we'd investigate factors unique to those groups.
  • Recent changes could directly link to the drop, simplifying our root cause analysis.
  • Cross-platform consistency would suggest a broader issue beyond the website itself.
  • Changes in metric definition could explain the apparent drop, requiring a recalibration of our analysis.

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