Introduction
The trade-off question at hand is whether Substack should expand into new content formats or refine and perfect its existing newsletter ecosystem. This scenario involves balancing growth through diversification against optimization of core offerings. I'll analyze this trade-off by examining Substack's current position, potential impacts, and key metrics, then design an experiment to inform our decision.
Analysis Approach
I'd like to start by asking a few clarifying questions to ensure we're aligned on the context and constraints of this decision. Then, I'll walk through my analysis framework, covering product understanding, trade-off impacts, metrics, experimentation, and ultimately, a recommendation with next steps.
Step 1
Clarifying Questions (3 minutes)
Why it matters: Helps understand the urgency and strategic importance of the decision. Expected answer: Competitive pressure from other platforms or plateauing growth in newsletters. Impact on approach: Would influence the aggressiveness of the expansion strategy.
Why it matters: Ensures alignment with business goals and financial implications. Expected answer: Expansion could open new revenue streams but might complicate the existing model. Impact on approach: Would shape the metrics we prioritize and the potential formats we consider.
Why it matters: Helps tailor the solution to specific user needs and behaviors. Expected answer: Targeting younger demographics or creators in specific niches like podcasting or video. Impact on approach: Would influence the types of formats considered and how we measure success.
Why it matters: Determines the scope and timeline of potential changes. Expected answer: Some limitations in current infrastructure, but plans for upgrades in place. Impact on approach: Would affect the timeline and resources needed for implementation.
Why it matters: Ensures realistic planning and execution. Expected answer: Limited additional resources available, requiring trade-offs in current projects. Impact on approach: Would influence the scale and pace of any new initiatives.
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