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Product Management Root Cause Analysis Question: Investigating sudden decline in CarDekho's car loan applications
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Nextsprints

Updated Jan 22, 2025

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What factors led to the sudden 50% decline in CarDekho's new car loan applications last week?

Data Analysis Problem Solving Hypothesis Testing Automotive Fintech E-commerce
Data Analysis Product Metrics Fintech Root Cause Analysis User Conversion

Introduction

The sudden 50% decline in CarDekho's new car loan applications last week is a critical issue that demands immediate attention and thorough analysis. As we delve into this problem, we'll employ a systematic approach to identify, validate, and address the root cause while considering both short-term and long-term implications for the business.

Framework overview

This analysis follows a structured approach covering issue identification, hypothesis generation, validation, and solution development.

Step 1

Clarifying Questions (3 minutes)

  • Looking at the timing, I'm thinking there might be a seasonal factor at play. Has there been any significant change in the overall car market or consumer behavior in the past week?

Why it matters: Seasonal trends can greatly impact car sales and loan applications. Expected answer: No significant market changes noted. Impact on approach: If confirmed, we'll focus more on internal factors.

  • Considering the specificity of the decline, I'm wondering about potential technical issues. Have there been any recent updates or changes to the loan application system?

Why it matters: Technical glitches can cause sudden drops in user engagement. Expected answer: A minor update was pushed last week. Impact on approach: This would shift our focus to technical root causes.

  • Given the magnitude of the decline, I'm curious about user segments. Has this decline been observed across all user segments or is it concentrated in specific groups?

Why it matters: Understanding affected segments can reveal targeted issues. Expected answer: The decline is more pronounced in first-time car buyers. Impact on approach: We'd prioritize investigating factors affecting new buyers.

  • Thinking about external factors, have there been any recent changes in loan policies or interest rates from partnering financial institutions?

Why it matters: Changes in loan terms can significantly impact application rates. Expected answer: No major policy changes reported. Impact on approach: If confirmed, we'll focus more on internal product and user experience factors.

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