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Product Management Root Cause Analysis Question: Investigating Klarna's one-time card average order value decline

Asked at Klarna

15 mins

Why has the average order value for purchases made through Klarna's one-time card feature decreased by 20% this quarter?

Data Analysis Hypothesis Generation Problem-Solving Fintech E-commerce Payment Processing
Data Analysis Fintech Root Cause Analysis User Behavior Economic Impact

Introduction

The recent 20% decrease in average order value (AOV) for Klarna's one-time card feature is a significant concern that requires immediate attention. This analysis will systematically investigate potential root causes, generate data-driven hypotheses, and propose actionable solutions to address the issue.

Framework overview

This analysis follows a structured approach covering issue identification, hypothesis generation, validation, and solution development.

Step 1

Clarifying Questions (3 minutes)

  • Looking at the timing, I'm thinking there might be seasonal factors at play. Has this decrease coincided with any particular shopping season or holiday period?

Why it matters: Seasonal trends could explain temporary fluctuations in AOV. Expected answer: No significant seasonal correlation observed. Impact on approach: If seasonal, we'd focus on year-over-year comparisons and cyclical patterns.

  • Considering user segments, I'm curious about the distribution of this decrease. Is the 20% drop consistent across all user groups, or are certain segments more affected?

Why it matters: Identifying specific affected segments could pinpoint targeted issues. Expected answer: The decrease is more pronounced among newer users. Impact on approach: We'd investigate onboarding processes and new user experience if this is the case.

  • Thinking about recent changes, have there been any updates to the one-time card feature or related systems in the past quarter?

Why it matters: Recent changes could directly impact user behavior and AOV. Expected answer: A minor UI update was implemented last month. Impact on approach: We'd closely examine the impact of this update on user interaction and purchase behavior.

  • Regarding competitive landscape, have there been any significant moves by competitors or changes in the market that might influence consumer spending habits?

Why it matters: External market forces could be driving changes in user behavior. Expected answer: No major competitive shifts, but general economic uncertainty has increased. Impact on approach: We'd consider broader economic factors and their impact on consumer confidence.

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