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Product Management Root Cause Analysis Question: Investigating e-commerce conversion rate decline for Shopee Mall

Why has the conversion rate for Shopee Mall products dropped by 15% in the past week?

Data Analysis Problem-Solving User Experience Design E-commerce Online Marketplaces Retail
User Experience E-Commerce Conversion Optimization A/B Testing Root Cause Analysis

Introduction

The recent 15% drop in conversion rate for Shopee Mall products is a critical issue that demands immediate attention. As we delve into this problem, we'll employ a systematic approach to identify, validate, and address the root cause, considering both short-term fixes and long-term strategic implications.

Framework overview

This analysis follows a structured approach covering issue identification, hypothesis generation, validation, and solution development.

Step 1

Clarifying Questions (3 minutes)

  • Looking at the timing, I'm thinking there might be a seasonal factor at play. Has this drop coincided with any major holidays or shopping events?

Why it matters: Seasonal trends can significantly impact e-commerce performance. Expected answer: No major holidays or events during this period. Impact on approach: If confirmed, we'll focus more on internal factors.

  • Considering the specificity of "Shopee Mall products," I'm wondering if this is isolated to a particular category or across all Mall products?

Why it matters: Helps narrow down the scope of the issue. Expected answer: The drop is seen across all Mall product categories. Impact on approach: We'll need to look at platform-wide changes rather than category-specific issues.

  • Given the 15% drop, I'm curious about the baseline conversion rate. What was the average conversion rate before this decline?

Why it matters: Contextualizes the severity of the drop. Expected answer: The baseline was around 5-7%. Impact on approach: This would indicate a significant issue requiring urgent attention.

  • Thinking about recent changes, have there been any updates to the Shopee Mall product display or checkout process in the past two weeks?

Why it matters: Recent changes often correlate with performance shifts. Expected answer: A minor UI update was implemented last week. Impact on approach: We'd prioritize investigating the impact of this update.

  • Considering data integrity, has there been any change in how conversion rates are measured or reported recently?

Why it matters: Ensures we're dealing with a real issue, not a reporting anomaly. Expected answer: No changes to measurement or reporting systems. Impact on approach: We can confidently focus on actual performance issues rather than data discrepancies.

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