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Product Management Root Cause Analysis Question: Investigating sudden drop in Medium's active users

Asked at Medium

15 mins

You are PM of Medium and you notice some fluctuations in % of active users. After 3 weeks of monitoring, you notice one morning that the % of active users drop by 35%. What would you do to figure out the drop and how will you restore it?

Data Analysis Problem Solving Strategic Thinking Digital Publishing Social Media Content Platforms
User Engagement Metrics Analysis Root Cause Analysis Content Strategy Platform Performance

Introduction

As the PM of Medium, a sudden 35% drop in active users over three weeks is a critical issue that demands immediate attention. This significant decline could have far-reaching implications for our platform's health, user engagement, and overall business performance. I'll approach this problem systematically, focusing on identifying the root cause, validating our hypotheses, and developing both short-term fixes and long-term strategies to restore and improve our active user base.

Framework overview

This analysis will follow a structured approach covering issue identification, hypothesis generation, validation, and solution development, ensuring we address both immediate concerns and long-term platform stability.

Step 1

Clarifying Questions (3 minutes)

  • Looking at the timing, I'm thinking there might be a specific event or change that triggered this. Has there been any major product update or feature release in the past month?

Why it matters: Recent changes often correlate with sudden metric shifts. Expected answer: Yes, we launched a new recommendation algorithm. Impact on approach: If true, we'd focus on the algorithm's performance and user reception.

  • Considering the magnitude of the drop, I'm wondering if this affects all user segments equally. Can you provide a breakdown of the active user drop by user type (e.g., writers, readers, premium subscribers)?

Why it matters: Identifying affected segments helps narrow down potential causes. Expected answer: The drop is more pronounced among casual readers. Impact on approach: We'd investigate factors specifically impacting casual reader engagement.

  • Given the suddenness of the drop, I'm curious about any technical issues. Have we experienced any significant outages or performance degradation recently?

Why it matters: Technical problems can cause immediate and drastic drops in usage. Expected answer: No major outages, but there have been reports of slower page load times. Impact on approach: We'd prioritize investigating and resolving performance issues.

  • Considering external factors, has there been any notable competitor activity or market shifts in the past month?

Why it matters: External events can significantly impact user behavior across platforms. Expected answer: A major competitor launched a new feature that's gaining traction. Impact on approach: We'd analyze the competitor's offering and our relative market position.

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