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Product Management Root Cause Analysis Question: Investigating declining average order value for home appliances on an e-commerce platform

Why has the average order value for home appliances on JD.com decreased by 20% compared to the same period last year?

Data Analysis Strategic Thinking Problem-Solving E-commerce Retail Consumer Electronics
E-Commerce Root Cause Analysis Pricing Strategy Inventory Management Customer Segmentation

Introduction

The 20% decrease in average order value for home appliances on JD.com compared to last year is a significant issue that requires thorough investigation. To address this problem, I'll employ a systematic approach to identify, validate, and resolve the root cause while considering both immediate and long-term implications.

Framework overview

This analysis follows a structured approach covering issue identification, hypothesis generation, validation, and solution development.

Step 1

Clarifying Questions (3 minutes)

  • Looking at the timing, I'm thinking there might be seasonal factors at play. Has this decrease been consistent across all months, or is it more pronounced during specific periods?

Why it matters: Seasonal patterns could indicate external factors rather than internal issues. Expected answer: The decrease is consistent across months. Impact on approach: If seasonal, we'd focus on year-over-year comparisons and external market factors.

  • Considering product mix, I'm wondering if there's been a shift in the types of appliances being purchased. Have you noticed any changes in the popularity of different appliance categories?

Why it matters: A shift towards lower-priced categories could explain the decrease in average order value. Expected answer: There's been an increase in sales of smaller, less expensive appliances. Impact on approach: We'd investigate marketing strategies and consumer preferences for different appliance types.

  • Thinking about pricing strategies, has there been any change in discount policies or promotional activities compared to last year?

Why it matters: Aggressive discounting could directly impact average order value. Expected answer: We've increased the frequency and depth of promotions. Impact on approach: We'd analyze the effectiveness and ROI of current promotional strategies.

  • Considering user behavior, have you observed any changes in the customer segments making purchases on JD.com?

Why it matters: Different customer segments may have varying purchasing power and preferences. Expected answer: There's been an increase in younger, more budget-conscious buyers. Impact on approach: We'd focus on tailoring the product mix and marketing to different customer segments.

  • Regarding competition, has there been any significant change in the competitive landscape for home appliances in the past year?

Why it matters: Increased competition could be driving prices down or shifting customer preferences. Expected answer: A new competitor has entered the market with aggressive pricing. Impact on approach: We'd analyze our competitive positioning and value proposition.

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