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Product Management Root Cause Analysis Question: Investigating sudden drop in Nykaa's lipstick conversion rate

Asked at Nykaa

15 mins

Why has the conversion rate for lipsticks on Nykaa dropped 15% in the past month?

Data Analysis Hypothesis Testing Problem-Solving E-commerce Beauty Retail
E-Commerce Conversion Optimization Root Cause Analysis User Behavior Algorithm Performance

Introduction

The recent 15% drop in lipstick conversion rates on Nykaa is a concerning trend that requires immediate attention. As we delve into this issue, we'll employ a systematic approach to identify, validate, and address the root cause, considering both short-term fixes and long-term strategic implications for our product ecosystem.

Framework overview

This analysis follows a structured approach covering issue identification, hypothesis generation, validation, and solution development.

Step 1

Clarifying Questions (3 minutes)

  • Looking at the timing, I'm thinking there might be a seasonal effect. Has this drop coincided with any particular season or event?

Why it matters: Seasonal trends can significantly impact beauty product sales. Expected answer: No significant seasonal event correlates with the drop. Impact on approach: If seasonal, we'd focus on adjusting marketing strategies.

  • Considering user segments, I'm curious if this drop is uniform across all demographics. Have we seen any particular user group more affected than others?

Why it matters: Different segments may require tailored solutions. Expected answer: The drop is more pronounced in the 18-25 age group. Impact on approach: We'd prioritize understanding and addressing issues specific to this demographic.

  • Thinking about recent changes, have there been any updates to the product pages or checkout process in the last month?

Why it matters: UI/UX changes can significantly impact conversion rates. Expected answer: A new recommendation algorithm was implemented. Impact on approach: We'd focus on analyzing the algorithm's performance and user interaction.

  • Considering the competitive landscape, have any major competitors launched significant promotions or new products recently?

Why it matters: External market forces could be drawing customers away. Expected answer: No notable competitor activities observed. Impact on approach: We'd shift focus to internal factors and user experience issues.

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