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Product Management Root Cause Analysis Question: Investigating Swiggy Instamart's average order value decline

Why has the average order value for Swiggy Instamart dropped by 15% in the past month?

Data Analysis Problem-Solving Strategic Thinking E-commerce Food Delivery Quick Commerce
E-Commerce Data Analysis Root Cause Analysis User Behavior Quick Commerce

Introduction

The recent 15% drop in average order value for Swiggy Instamart over the past month is a concerning trend that requires immediate attention. To address this issue, I'll employ a systematic approach to identify, validate, and resolve the root cause while considering both short-term fixes and long-term strategic implications.

Framework overview

This analysis follows a structured approach covering issue identification, hypothesis generation, validation, and solution development.

Step 1

Clarifying Questions (3 minutes)

  • Looking at the timing, I'm thinking there might be seasonal factors at play. Has this drop coincided with any particular season or event?

Why it matters: Seasonal trends can significantly impact consumer behavior. Expected answer: No significant seasonal events during this period. Impact on approach: If seasonal, we'd focus on adapting to cyclical patterns; if not, we'd investigate other factors.

  • Considering user segments, I'm curious if this drop is uniform across all user groups. Have you noticed any particular segment being more affected?

Why it matters: Identifying affected segments helps narrow down potential causes. Expected answer: The drop is more pronounced among occasional users. Impact on approach: We'd focus on retention strategies for occasional users if this is the case.

  • Thinking about recent changes, have there been any significant updates to the app or pricing structure in the last 1-2 months?

Why it matters: Recent changes could directly impact user behavior. Expected answer: A minor UI update was implemented three weeks ago. Impact on approach: We'd investigate if the UI change has affected user navigation or product discovery.

  • Considering market dynamics, has there been any notable shift in competitor offerings or marketing strategies?

Why it matters: Competitive pressures can influence customer choices and order values. Expected answer: A competitor launched an aggressive discount campaign last month. Impact on approach: We'd need to assess our pricing and value proposition in light of competitive actions.

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