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Product Management Root Cause Analysis Question: Uber ride cancellations during peak hours

Uber is facing a challenge with the increase in cancelled rides especially during peak hours. As product manager, how would you solve this situation?

Data Analysis Problem-Solving Strategic Thinking Transportation Technology Gig Economy
Root Cause Analysis User Behavior Ride-Sharing Pricing Strategy Demand Management

Introduction

The increase in cancelled rides during peak hours presents a significant challenge for Uber's service quality and reliability. This issue directly impacts user satisfaction, driver earnings, and overall platform efficiency. To address this problem, I'll employ a systematic approach to identify the root cause, validate hypotheses, and develop both short-term and long-term solutions.

Framework overview

This analysis follows a structured approach covering issue identification, hypothesis generation, validation, and solution development.

Step 1

Clarifying Questions (3 minutes)

  • Looking at the timing, I'm thinking this might be a recent trend. Has there been a significant increase in cancellations over the past few weeks or months?

Why it matters: Understanding the timeline helps identify potential triggers or changes that coincide with the increase. Expected answer: Yes, there's been a noticeable increase over the last 2-3 months. Impact on approach: A recent change would narrow our focus to recent product updates or market shifts.

  • Considering user segments, I'm curious if this is affecting all rider types equally. Are we seeing a higher cancellation rate among certain user groups, such as frequent riders or new users?

Why it matters: This helps us determine if the issue is universal or specific to certain user behaviors or expectations. Expected answer: Cancellations are higher among infrequent users and during surge pricing periods. Impact on approach: This would lead us to investigate pricing strategies and user education initiatives.

  • Thinking about the definition of "peak hours," I'm wondering if we've seen any shifts in traffic patterns recently. Has there been any change in what we consider peak hours, or are they consistent with historical data?

Why it matters: Changes in peak hour patterns could indicate broader shifts in user behavior or market conditions. Expected answer: Peak hours have remained consistent, typically during morning and evening commutes. Impact on approach: This would focus our attention on capacity issues during these specific time windows.

  • Considering recent changes, I'm curious if we've implemented any new features or policies that might be influencing driver or rider behavior. Have there been any significant updates to the app or service in the past few months?

Why it matters: Recent changes could be directly or indirectly contributing to the increase in cancellations. Expected answer: We introduced a new surge pricing algorithm and updated the driver acceptance rating system. Impact on approach: This would lead us to closely examine these changes and their potential unintended consequences.

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