Introduction
Creditas Soluções Financeiras's 15% drop in auto loan origination rate over the past month is a concerning trend that requires immediate attention. To address this issue, I'll employ a systematic approach to identify, validate, and resolve the root cause while considering both short-term fixes and long-term strategic implications.
This analysis follows a structured approach covering issue identification, hypothesis generation, validation, and solution development.
Step 1
Clarifying Questions (3 minutes)
Why it matters: Seasonal trends can significantly impact financial product performance. Expected answer: No significant seasonal correlation. Impact on approach: If seasonal, we'd focus on year-over-year comparisons and cyclical strategies.
Why it matters: Industry-wide trends may require different strategies than company-specific issues. Expected answer: Competitors haven't reported similar declines. Impact on approach: If isolated to Creditas, we'd focus more on internal factors and recent changes.
Why it matters: Identifying affected segments can pinpoint specific issues or changing market dynamics. Expected answer: The decline is more significant in middle-income, mid-credit score applicants. Impact on approach: We'd investigate factors specifically affecting this segment, such as pricing or approval criteria changes.
Why it matters: Recent changes often correlate with performance shifts. Expected answer: A new credit scoring model was implemented six weeks ago. Impact on approach: We'd focus on analyzing the impact and potential unintended consequences of this new model.
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