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Product Management Root Cause Analysis Question: Investigating sudden drop in food delivery app's average order value

Asked at Gojek

12 mins

Why has the average order value for GoFood dropped by 15% in the past month?

Data Analysis Problem Solving Strategic Thinking Food Delivery E-commerce Mobile Apps
Product Strategy Food Delivery Metrics Analysis Root Cause Analysis User Behavior

Introduction

The recent 15% drop in average order value (AOV) for GoFood over the past month is a critical issue that demands immediate attention. As we delve into this problem, we'll employ a systematic approach to identify, validate, and address the root cause while considering both short-term fixes and long-term strategic implications.

Framework overview

This analysis follows a structured approach covering issue identification, hypothesis generation, validation, and solution development.

Step 1

Clarifying Questions (3 minutes)

  • Looking at the timing, I'm thinking there might be a seasonal effect. Has this drop coincided with any particular season or event?

Why it matters: Seasonal trends can significantly impact food ordering patterns. Expected answer: No significant seasonal events during this period. Impact on approach: If seasonal, we'd focus on historical data comparison; if not, we'd look more closely at recent changes.

  • Considering user segments, I'm wondering if this drop is uniform across all user groups. Have you noticed any particular user segments more affected than others?

Why it matters: Identifying affected segments can help pinpoint specific issues or changes in user behavior. Expected answer: The drop is more pronounced among frequent users. Impact on approach: If segment-specific, we'd tailor our investigation and solutions to those groups.

  • Thinking about recent changes, has there been any significant product update or promotion in the last 1-2 months?

Why it matters: Recent changes can often lead to unexpected consequences in user behavior. Expected answer: A new UI was rolled out for the ordering process. Impact on approach: If recent changes occurred, we'd focus on before-and-after analysis of those specific features.

  • Considering the competitive landscape, have there been any major moves by competitors recently?

Why it matters: Competitive actions can influence user behavior and pricing strategies. Expected answer: A competitor launched an aggressive discount campaign. Impact on approach: If competition is a factor, we'd need to consider market positioning and pricing strategies.

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