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Product Management Root Cause Analysis Question: Investigating declining average order value for food tech marinades
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Nextsprints

Updated Jan 22, 2025

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Why has the average order value for Licious's ready-to-cook marinades decreased by 15% over the past quarter?

Data Analysis Problem Solving Strategic Thinking Food Tech E-commerce Direct-to-Consumer
Root Cause Analysis Food Tech Pricing Strategy Customer Behavior Product Mix

Introduction

The decline in average order value (AOV) for Licious's ready-to-cook marinades by 15% over the past quarter is a significant issue that requires thorough investigation. This analysis will systematically identify potential root causes, validate hypotheses, and propose targeted solutions to address the AOV decrease while considering both immediate and long-term implications for the product.

Framework overview

This analysis follows a structured approach covering issue identification, hypothesis generation, validation, and solution development.

Step 1

Clarifying Questions (3 minutes)

  • Looking at the timing, I'm thinking there might be seasonal factors at play. Has this 15% decrease been compared to the same quarter last year?

Why it matters: Seasonal variations could explain the AOV drop and impact our solution approach. Expected answer: Yes, it has been compared to the same quarter last year. Impact on approach: If seasonal, we'd focus on strategies to mitigate seasonal fluctuations.

  • Considering potential product changes, have there been any recent modifications to the marinade offerings or pricing structure?

Why it matters: Recent changes could directly impact customer purchasing behavior. Expected answer: A new line of budget-friendly marinades was introduced last month. Impact on approach: If confirmed, we'd analyze the new product line's impact on overall AOV.

  • Regarding user segments, has the decrease been uniform across all customer groups, or are certain segments more affected?

Why it matters: Identifying specific affected segments could reveal targeted issues. Expected answer: The decrease is more pronounced among first-time buyers. Impact on approach: We'd focus on improving the onboarding and first-purchase experience.

  • Thinking about external factors, have there been any significant changes in the competitive landscape or market conditions?

Why it matters: External pressures could be driving the AOV decrease. Expected answer: A new competitor entered the market with aggressive pricing. Impact on approach: We'd need to reassess our value proposition and pricing strategy.

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