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Product Management Root Cause Analysis Question: Investigating increased VA loan refinancing denial rates for Caliber Home Loans
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Updated Jan 22, 2025

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What factors are causing the increased denial rate for Caliber Home Loans's VA loan refinancing applications over the past month?

Data Analysis Problem Solving Process Optimization Financial Services Mortgage Lending Veterans Affairs
Data Analysis Root Cause Analysis Risk Management Mortgage Industry VA Loans

Introduction

The increased denial rate for Caliber Home Loans's VA loan refinancing applications over the past month is a critical issue that requires immediate attention. To address this problem, I'll employ a systematic approach to identify, validate, and resolve the root cause while considering both short-term fixes and long-term strategic implications.

Framework overview

This analysis follows a structured approach covering issue identification, hypothesis generation, validation, and solution development.

Step 1

Clarifying Questions (3 minutes)

  • Looking at the timing, I'm thinking there might be a recent change in VA loan policies. Has there been any update to VA loan requirements or guidelines in the past 1-2 months?

Why it matters: Policy changes could directly impact approval rates. Expected answer: Yes, there have been some minor updates. Impact on approach: If confirmed, we'd need to analyze the specific changes and their potential impact on our approval process.

  • Considering the specificity of the issue, I'm wondering about our internal processes. Have we implemented any changes to our underwriting criteria or automated decision systems recently?

Why it matters: Internal changes could inadvertently affect approval rates. Expected answer: No significant changes have been made. Impact on approach: If changes were made, we'd focus on reviewing and potentially rolling back those changes.

  • Given the competitive nature of the mortgage industry, I'm curious about market dynamics. Have we seen any significant shifts in competitor behavior or marketing strategies for VA loan refinancing?

Why it matters: Competitor actions could be attracting higher-quality applicants away from Caliber. Expected answer: Some competitors have launched aggressive marketing campaigns. Impact on approach: If confirmed, we'd need to assess our market positioning and potentially adjust our targeting or product offerings.

  • Thinking about the broader economic context, I'm considering interest rate fluctuations. Have there been any notable changes in interest rates that might affect refinancing attractiveness?

Why it matters: Interest rate changes can significantly impact refinancing demand and applicant profiles. Expected answer: Interest rates have remained relatively stable. Impact on approach: If rates have changed, we'd need to analyze how this affects the quality of applicants and our pricing strategy.

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