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Product Management Root Cause Analysis Question: Investigating declining enrollment in Marriott's Bonvoy loyalty program
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Nextsprints

Updated Jan 22, 2025

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What factors are contributing to the decline in Marriott Bonvoy loyalty program enrollment rates since the start of the year?

Data Analysis Problem-Solving Strategic Thinking Hospitality Travel Customer Loyalty
Data Analysis Customer Retention Root Cause Analysis Loyalty Programs Hospitality

Introduction

The decline in Marriott Bonvoy loyalty program enrollment rates since the start of the year is a critical issue that requires thorough analysis. I'll approach this problem systematically, examining both internal and external factors to identify the root cause and develop effective solutions.

Framework overview

This analysis follows a structured approach covering issue identification, hypothesis generation, validation, and solution development.

Step 1

Clarifying Questions (3 minutes)

  • Looking at the timing, I'm thinking there might be seasonal factors at play. Has this decline been consistent across all months, or are there specific periods showing steeper drops?

Why it matters: Seasonal patterns could indicate external factors rather than internal issues. Expected answer: Decline is consistent across months. Impact on approach: If seasonal, we'd focus on cyclical strategies; if consistent, we'd look deeper into program-specific factors.

  • Considering recent changes, I'm wondering if there have been any significant alterations to the Bonvoy program structure or benefits. Have there been any major updates to the program in the past 6-12 months?

Why it matters: Program changes could directly impact user perception and enrollment rates. Expected answer: No major changes to the program. Impact on approach: If changes occurred, we'd analyze their impact; if not, we'd investigate other factors.

  • Thinking about user segments, I'm curious if this decline is uniform across all demographics. Are we seeing any particular age groups or traveler types (business vs. leisure) more affected?

Why it matters: Segment-specific issues could point to targeted problems or changing market dynamics. Expected answer: Decline is more pronounced in younger demographics. Impact on approach: If segment-specific, we'd tailor solutions to those groups; if uniform, we'd look at broader issues.

  • Considering competitive landscape, I'm wondering about our position relative to other hotel loyalty programs. Have we seen any significant moves from competitors that might be affecting our enrollment rates?

Why it matters: Competitive pressures could be drawing potential members away from Bonvoy. Expected answer: Some competitors have launched aggressive promotions. Impact on approach: If competition is a factor, we'd need to reassess our value proposition; if not, we'd focus more on internal factors.

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