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Product Management Root Cause Analysis Question: Investigating Pringles' market share decline among young adults
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Nextsprints

Updated Jan 22, 2025

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Why has Kellogg's Pringles brand experienced a sudden 30% decline in market share among 18-25 year olds in the last 6 months?

Data Analysis Consumer Insights Strategic Thinking Consumer Packaged Goods Food and Beverage Snack Foods
Root Cause Analysis Market Share Consumer Trends Brand Strategy Snack Industry

Introduction

Kellogg's Pringles brand has experienced a significant 30% decline in market share among 18-25 year olds over the past 6 months. This sudden drop in a key demographic requires immediate attention and a thorough analysis to identify the root cause and develop effective solutions. I'll approach this issue systematically, examining both internal and external factors that could contribute to this market share loss.

Framework overview

This analysis follows a structured approach covering issue identification, hypothesis generation, validation, and solution development.

Step 1

Clarifying Questions (3 minutes)

  • Looking at the timing, I'm thinking there might be a seasonal component. Has this decline been observed in previous years during the same period?

Why it matters: Seasonal patterns could indicate a cyclical issue rather than a new problem. Expected answer: No, this decline is unprecedented for this time of year. Impact on approach: If seasonal, we'd focus on year-over-year comparisons; if not, we'd investigate recent changes.

  • Considering the specific age group affected, I'm curious about any changes in marketing strategy. Have there been any significant shifts in Pringles' marketing approach or target audience in the last 6-12 months?

Why it matters: Changes in marketing could directly impact brand perception and sales among this demographic. Expected answer: Some adjustments were made to focus more on digital platforms. Impact on approach: We'd analyze the effectiveness of new marketing strategies and channels.

  • Given the magnitude of the decline, I'm wondering about product availability. Has there been any disruption in the supply chain or distribution channels that could affect product availability for this age group?

Why it matters: Supply issues could lead to consumers switching to alternative snack options. Expected answer: No major supply chain disruptions have been reported. Impact on approach: If supply is stable, we'd focus more on demand-side factors.

  • Considering the competitive landscape, have there been any significant new product launches or aggressive marketing campaigns from competitors targeting this age group?

Why it matters: Strong competitor actions could be drawing market share away from Pringles. Expected answer: A few new snack options have entered the market, but nothing groundbreaking. Impact on approach: We'd analyze competitor strategies and Pringles' relative positioning.

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