Introduction
The sudden 30% decrease in new user signups for Curve's metal card offering last week is a critical issue that demands immediate attention. This analysis will systematically identify, validate, and address the root cause while considering both short-term and long-term implications for Curve's product strategy.
I'll approach this problem by first clarifying key details, ruling out external factors, and then diving deep into the product, user journey, and metrics. From there, I'll form data-driven hypotheses, conduct root cause analysis, and propose validation methods and next steps.
Framework overview
This analysis follows a structured approach covering issue identification, hypothesis generation, validation, and solution development.
Step 1
Clarifying Questions (3 minutes)
Why it matters: Recent changes often correlate with sudden metric shifts. Expected answer: Yes, a new onboarding flow was implemented last week. Impact on approach: If confirmed, I'd focus on analyzing the new flow for potential friction points.
Why it matters: Ensures we're addressing a real issue, not a data anomaly. Expected answer: No changes to tracking methods. Impact on approach: If tracking has changed, we'd need to reassess the validity of the 30% decrease.
Why it matters: External market forces can significantly impact user acquisition. Expected answer: No major competitor actions noted. Impact on approach: If competitors have made moves, we'd need to consider our market positioning.
Why it matters: Helps focus our investigation on specific user segments if applicable. Expected answer: The decrease is more pronounced among younger users. Impact on approach: If segment-specific, we'd tailor our analysis and solutions to that group.
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