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Product Management Trade-Off Question: Automated algorithms versus manual underwriting for Julo's credit risk assessment
Image of author vinay

Vinay

Updated Nov 27, 2024

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Asked at Julo

15 mins

Is it more beneficial for Julo to invest in automated credit scoring algorithms or to expand our manual underwriting team for more accurate risk assessment?

Product Trade-Off Hard Member-only
Strategic Decision-Making Data Analysis Risk Management Fintech Lending Financial Services
Product Strategy Fintech Automation Risk Assessment Credit Scoring

Introduction

The trade-off between investing in automated credit scoring algorithms or expanding our manual underwriting team for more accurate risk assessment is a critical decision for Julo. This scenario involves balancing technological innovation with human expertise in the fintech lending space. I'll analyze this trade-off by examining the product context, potential impacts, key metrics, and experimental approaches to guide our decision-making process.

Analysis Approach

I'd like to start by asking a few clarifying questions to ensure we're aligned on the key aspects of this trade-off. Then, I'll walk you through my analysis framework, covering product understanding, hypothesis formation, metrics identification, experiment design, and ultimately, a recommendation with next steps.

Step 1

Clarifying Questions (3 minutes)

  • Context: I'm thinking our current credit scoring process might be a bottleneck. Could you share our current approval times and how they compare to industry standards?

Why it matters: Helps identify if speed or accuracy is our primary concern Expected answer: Approval times are slower than competitors Impact on approach: Would prioritize automation if speed is the main issue

  • Business Context: Based on our growth targets, I assume we're looking to scale our loan portfolio. What's our target loan volume increase for the next year?

Why it matters: Determines the urgency and scale of the solution needed Expected answer: Aiming for 50-100% growth Impact on approach: Higher growth targets would favor automation for scalability

  • User Impact: I'm curious about our customer satisfaction scores. How do they vary between fast approvals and thorough, manual assessments?

Why it matters: Helps balance speed vs. accuracy from the user perspective Expected answer: Higher satisfaction with faster approvals, but also higher default rates Impact on approach: Would need to find a balance between speed and accuracy

  • Technical: Regarding our current tech stack, how mature is our machine learning infrastructure?

Why it matters: Affects the feasibility and timeline of implementing automated scoring Expected answer: Basic ML capabilities in place, but not fully integrated Impact on approach: Might need to factor in additional time and resources for tech development

  • Resource: What's the current size and capacity of our manual underwriting team?

Why it matters: Helps assess the scalability of the manual approach Expected answer: Team of 20, operating at 80% capacity Impact on approach: Limited room for manual scaling might push towards automation

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