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Product Management Root Cause Analysis Question: Amazon Prime delivery delays in Seattle

Why has the average delivery time for Amazon Prime orders in the Seattle area increased from 2 days to 4 days over the past two weeks?

Problem-Solving Data Analysis Strategic Thinking E-commerce Logistics Retail
E-Commerce Amazon Root Cause Analysis Logistics Supply Chain

Introduction

The recent increase in Amazon Prime delivery times in Seattle from 2 to 4 days is a critical issue that demands immediate attention. This analysis will systematically investigate the root cause, considering various factors that could be impacting delivery performance. We'll follow a structured approach to identify, validate, and address the underlying issues while evaluating both short-term fixes and long-term strategic implications.

Framework overview

This analysis follows a structured approach covering issue identification, hypothesis generation, validation, and solution development.

Step 1

Clarifying Questions (3 minutes)

  • Has there been any change in the definition of "delivery time" in the past month?

  • Are all product categories equally affected by this increase in delivery time?

  • Have there been any recent changes to the Seattle-area fulfillment centers or delivery network?

  • What percentage of Prime orders in Seattle are currently meeting the 2-day delivery promise?

  • Has there been any significant increase in Prime membership or order volume in Seattle recently?

  • Are there any ongoing labor disputes or staffing issues in the Seattle area logistics operations?

Why these questions matter:

  1. Ensures we're measuring the right thing consistently
  2. Helps identify if the issue is systemic or category-specific
  3. Pinpoints potential operational changes that could explain the slowdown
  4. Quantifies the extent of the problem
  5. Identifies potential capacity issues
  6. Highlights possible workforce-related bottlenecks

Hypothetical answers and their impact:

  1. No change in definition: Focus on operational issues
  2. All categories affected: Investigate systemic problems in the delivery network
  3. Recent network changes: Examine the impact of these changes on delivery times
  4. 50% meeting 2-day promise: Indicates a significant, widespread issue
  5. 20% increase in orders: Investigate capacity constraints
  6. Ongoing labor dispute: Prioritize workforce and staffing solutions

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