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Product Management Root Cause Analysis Question: Investigating Amazon Fresh order accuracy decline

Why has Amazon Fresh order accuracy decreased to 85%?

Data Analysis Problem Solving Strategic Thinking E-commerce Grocery Delivery Logistics
E-Commerce Root Cause Analysis Customer Experience Supply Chain Inventory Management

Introduction

Amazon Fresh's order accuracy dropping to 85% is a critical issue that demands immediate attention. This decline in accuracy directly impacts customer satisfaction, operational efficiency, and the overall reputation of Amazon's grocery delivery service. In this analysis, I'll systematically investigate the root causes, generate hypotheses, and propose solutions to address this problem.

Framework overview

This analysis follows a structured approach covering issue identification, hypothesis generation, validation, and solution development.

Step 1

Clarifying Questions (3 minutes)

  • Looking at the timing, I'm thinking there might be a recent change in the fulfillment process. Has there been any significant operational change in the last 3-6 months?

Why it matters: Recent changes often correlate with performance shifts. Expected answer: Yes, a new inventory management system was implemented. Impact on approach: If true, I'd focus on system integration and training issues.

  • Considering user segments, I'm wondering if this is a universal problem or specific to certain regions or customer types. Is the 85% accuracy consistent across all markets, or are some performing better than others?

Why it matters: Helps identify if the issue is systemic or localized. Expected answer: Variation exists, with some regions maintaining 95%+ accuracy. Impact on approach: I'd investigate successful regions for best practices.

  • Thinking about seasonality, I'm curious if there's been a sudden surge in order volume. Has there been any significant increase in demand recently that might be straining our capacity?

Why it matters: Rapid growth can stress systems and lead to errors. Expected answer: Yes, there's been a 30% increase in orders over the past quarter. Impact on approach: I'd focus on scalability and capacity planning.

  • Considering the metric itself, I want to ensure we're measuring consistently. Has there been any change in how order accuracy is defined or measured in the past year?

Why it matters: Metric changes can create false perceptions of performance shifts. Expected answer: No changes to the definition or measurement process. Impact on approach: I'd focus on operational factors rather than measurement issues.

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